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Bitcoin could thrive in a U.S. recession: BlackRock

Newsroom by Newsroom
March 20, 2025
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The head of digital assets at the asset management firm predicts that the cryptocurrency could benefit from an unfavorable economic environment.

The prospect of a recession in the United States could serve as a powerful catalyst for Bitcoin, according to a BlackRock executive.

In a March 19 interview with Yahoo Finance, Robbie Mitchnick, head of digital assets at BlackRock, stated:

“I don’t know if we’ll have a recession or not, but a recession would be a big catalyst for Bitcoin.”

According to Mitchnick, Bitcoin is driven by factors that typically emerge during recessions, including increased fiscal spending, deficit accumulation, lower interest rates, and monetary stimulus.

Mitchnick added:

“And it’s catalyzed to some extent over fears of general social disorder. And that too, unfortunately, is something that can happen in a recession.”

The market does not yet fully understand Bitcoin

The BlackRock executive highlighted that the market is “not particularly well-calibrated” regarding Bitcoin, with many still considering it a risk asset. Last September, Mitchnick had already argued that the cryptocurrency does not fall into that category, unlike stocks, commodities, and high-yield bonds—assets that tend to struggle during economic crises.

“But that’s where the opportunity comes in for education in a market and asset class that’s still very nascent. If you look at Bitcoin fundamentally on a long-term basis, it really seems like an asset that should be uncorrelated or even inversely correlated against certain risk factors that exist.” the executive explained.

In terms of institutional adoption, BlackRock has played a significant role in 2024 through its iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT), which holds the largest net assets among spot ETFs, with $48.7 billion. The fund took only two months to surpass the $10 billion threshold—a milestone that took the first gold ETF two years to reach.

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