Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, publishes an analysis on the potential impact of spot Bitcoin ETFs on the global financial system.
On January 15th, Arthur Hayes, co-founder and former CEO of BitMEX, published an article regarding the potential implications that spot Bitcoin ETFs could have on the traditional financial system.
Hayes emphasizes the need for capital to remain within the financial system to manage the growing amount of unproductive debt. According to Hayes, a massive sale of government bonds in favor of Bitcoin, for example, could undermine the stability of the global financial system.
To prevent such a scenario, Hayes argues that the elite had to ‘financialize’ Bitcoin by creating a highly liquid ETF. Hayes compares this strategy to the situation in the gold market, where in 2004, the Securities and Exchange Commission approved several spot ETFs.
The former CEO of BitMEX ultimately states that if capital fleeing from a potential collapse in global government bond markets were to flow into a Bitcoin ETF managed by large traditional financial firms like BlackRock, it would still remain safe within the traditional financial system.
The nature of a Bitcoin ETF
Hayes emphasizes that buying a spot Bitcoin ETF does not equate to buying actual bitcoin. The only operation possible with an ETF is to earn more fiat currency. From his perspective, investors should buy bitcoin directly, withdraw them from exchanges, and personally custody their funds.
Future developments on Bitcoin ETFs
The co-founder of BitMEX also mentioned that China might decide to launch a copy of a spot Bitcoin ETF listed in Hong Kong to capture capital flows from within China and the Asia-Pacific region.
Finally, Hayes sees the possibility of the issuance of products associated with leveraged derivatives trading and short-term options tied to the spot ETF.