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Greenspan and the great illusion: the Fed was never reformable

Federico Rivi by Federico Rivi
June 23, 2026
in Feature, Opinion
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The death of Alan Greenspan offers an occasion to read the central bank as a structure: the inflationary mandate produces instability by design, regardless of who sits at the top.

Alan Greenspan died on 22 June 2026, at the age of one hundred. The Federal Reserve issued an official statement expressing condolences on the passing of its thirteenth chairman. The obituaries have already begun their stitching work: the man who led the Fed from 1987 to 2006, the “maestro” who navigated the 1987 crash, the 1990s boom, the dot-com bubble, September 11. A career fit for an encyclopedia.

The problem is that obituaries, by construction, personalise what is structural. They attribute to an individual what belongs to an institution. And in this case, the institution deserves more attention than its former occupant.

The Fed’s mandate – price stability and maximum employment – sounds reasonable on paper. In practice, it is a device that delegates management of the cost of money for the entire economy to a small committee. Any honest central banker will admit that this calculation is impossible: the price signals that the market produces in a distributed and continuous manner are replaced by a centralised decision, taken with lagging data, imperfect models, and political pressures that are never entirely absent. Ludwig von Mises called this the economic calculation problem: without free prices, planning generates systematic errors, not random ones.

Greenspan knew this, at least originally. Before entering the system, he was a convinced advocate of the gold standard and of criticism of the central bank. In 1966 he wrote an essay titled “Gold and Economic Freedom”, published originally in Ayn Rand’s newsletter The Objectivist and later reprinted in her book Capitalism: The Unknown Ideal (1967), in which he defended gold as protection against the inflationary confiscation carried out by governments. That position did not survive his appointment. Once inside, Greenspan became one of the most interventionist central bankers in modern history, responsible for monetary policies that inflated successive bubbles, from technology to real estate.

The conventional explanation is that he changed his mind, or yielded to pressure, or that power corrupted him. All biographical readings. The structural reading is more uncomfortable: the system selects the behaviour. A central banker who allowed markets to run their course – who permitted the liquidation of bad investments, who refused to cut rates at every creak – would not survive politically. The institutional mandate and the political incentive converge in the same direction: more money, more time bought, less short-term pain. The bill arrives later and is usually paid by someone else.

Black Monday 1987 is the textbook case. Greenspan had been in office for two months when stock markets collapsed in a single day. His response was immediate: the Fed guaranteed liquidity to the banking system, signalling that it would support markets in times of stress. That move was described as brilliant crisis management. It was also, and above all, the first clear formulation of what came to be called the “Greenspan put”: the implicit expectation that the central bank would always cushion falls. Free insurance on risk, financed by those who hold savings.

The “Greenspan put” was the logical consequence of a system in which the central banker is judged for the crises he did not allow to happen, never for the bubbles he helped create. The incentives were – and remain – perfectly aligned toward monetary expansion. Changing the chairman does not change the incentives. Ben Bernanke followed them after him. Janet Yellen too. Jerome Powell as well, with variations in style but not in substance.

There is a recurring argument that the Fed could reform itself from within, refine its models, improve its communication, increase transparency. It is an argument the institution itself encourages, because it shifts the debate from the legitimacy of the central bank to its technical efficiency. The problem of centralised economic calculation is solved by ceasing to perform the calculation in place of the market. That is the boundary no internal reform can cross without dissolving the institution itself.

In the meantime, markets watch every Fed appointment as an event capable of redefining global monetary policy. It is an involuntary testament to the concentration of power accumulated in that structure: a single committee setting the reserve interest rate for the entire world. The fact that Greenspan’s successor matters so much is precisely the problem.

The Austrian critique of the central bank – from Mises to Hayek through to more recent elaborations – is an epistemic critique: no central body possesses the information necessary to set the price of money correctly for all economic agents at all times. The error is not accidental. And the errors of the central banker, unlike those of a private operator, are socialised by definition: losses fall on the entire economy through inflation, boom-and-bust cycles, and the reallocation of wealth from savers to debtors.

The direction in which central banks are moving today – with digital currency projects, granular control of programmable money – is the coherent extension of the original logic. More tools, more control, more capacity to intervene. The same mandate, applied with more precise technologies. Christine Lagarde at the ECB speaks a different language from Greenspan’s, but the institutional premise is identical: money is too important to be left to markets.

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